Bundesliga Research 10 March 2011

Bundesliga Research 10 march 2011

I am most keen on:


Hannover 2/1 VC 0.5pt

Freiburg 12/5 VC, Bet365 0.5pt

Nurnberg 12/5 Unibet, Wm Hill 1pt

Mainz v Leverkusen Over 2.5 goals 10/11 Wm Hill 0.5pt

Mainz v Leverkusen Over 3.5 goals 9/4Wm Hill 0.5pt

Most Recent Results, Highlights and Analysis

Fri 04/03/11

Borussia Dortmund 1 – 0 Köln


This was just like the home game v Schalke all over again as Dortmund battered Rensing’s goal. How this one remained just 1-0 I will never know…

Sat 05/03/11

Hannover 96 3 – 1 Bayern München


Hannover cruelly exploited a high Bayern defensive line to take the lead. Despite surviving a strong penalty shout they ought to have been further ahead before they eventually added a second just after half time. It was more of the same before Robben offered Bayern a lifeline (2-1). However Kraft, in the Bayern goal, then made a hash of a Pinto rocket to make it 3-1 Hannover. Bayern rallied but their admittedly slim chances went with a red card for Breno. So, a typically feisty Hannover show on the break. Bayern continue to undo all their good expansive play with a porous defence and an increasingly isolated manager in Louis Van Gaal.

Stuttgart 1 – 0 Schalke 04


A Kuzmanovic penalty (and a harsh red card for handball for the visitors) settled this game 1-0. The season goes from bad to worse for Magath’s expensively assembled Schalke. Surely only an unlikely Champions League triumph can save the tough trainer’s job now. That is, if German press reports are to be believed.

Borussia M’gla… 2 – 0 Hoffenheim


A rare clean sheet for a Monchengladbach side that show that they can be decent going forward but so often leak crazy goals.

Nürnberg 5 – 0 St. Pauli


This was as easy as the scoreline suggests. Nurnberg are still on the up. St Pauli remain as inconsistent as ever.

Press: http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/blog/2011/mar/07/bayern-munich-louis-van-gaal-bundesliga

“Nuremberg’s 5-0 win over St Pauli has them dreaming of the Europa League and 45,000 fans stayed behind to celebrate the victory with the squad. The stand-in striker Christian Eigler was the man of the match with four goals but the whole team have excelled. “We need five more points to get to our second half of the season target,” said manager Dieter Hecking, “then we can deal with other topics.” In a season where the natural distinction between big and small clubs is rapidly vanishing, Nuremberg are about to spring the biggest surprise of all.”

Eintracht Fran… 0 – 0 Kaiserslautern


That most unlikely of Bundesliga results – a bore draw 0-0.

Press: http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/blog/2011/mar/07/bayern-munich-louis-van-gaal-bundesliga

“Eintracht Frankfurt’s unspeakably bad form since the winter break – not a single goal in eight games – has coach Michael Skibbe looking over his shoulder, too. The Frankfurter Rundschau newspaper felt that the goalless draw with Kaiserslautern was “the worst performance of the season and in many years”. The game was so poor that even the TV highlights package was unwatchable. “I’m sorry for looking clueless – I am not,” Skibbe said. This week’s trip to Schalke might be his last game in charge.”

Bayer Leverkusen 3 – 0 Wolfsburg


This game was won by half time thanks to a horror show by Wolfsburg keeper Benaglio (3-0 at the break). All smiles for Kiessling and co then – at least on the pitch.

Press: http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/blog/2011/mar/07/bayern-munich-louis-van-gaal-bundesliga

“Bayer Leverkusen, easy 3-0 winners over the increasingly dishevelled Wolfsburg, experienced managerial trouble of a different sort. Jupp Heynckes’s continued refusal to sign a new contract – his deal expires in June – is now seen in a worrying light. The 65-year-old did not only crop up on the shortlist of possible Van Gaal successors but might also force Bayer into making an uncomfortable choice between his services and those of Michael Ballack.

The 34-year-old was hoping to get a chance to impress Germany manager Jogi Löw on Saturday but withdrew from the squad when Henyckes told him he would not start. According to the manager, Ballack argued he would be better off training instead.

The move did not go down well with his team-mates – Bayer had only four substitutes available – and the dispute threatens to overshadow Bayer’s excellent run in the league, where they are on course for a Champions League place.

“Heynckes, a man who values harmony, is unsure what to make of Ballack,” writes Kicker. “He has a problem with Ballack’s self-image and sees a danger to the peace and quiet he needs to work with his team.” Bild thinks the two parties are heading for a divorce.”

Sun 06/03/11

Freiburg 1 – 3 Werder Bremen


A late goal gave Bremen a slightly flattering 3-1 win here but at least now they can claim to have found some momentum. And that could prove crucial for this nominally quality-packed Werder Bremen side that just three points above second bottom Kaiserslautern (14th) in a tight relegation battle.

Hamburger SV 2 – 4 Mainz 05


Justice was done here after Hamburg were gifted an opener that clearly didn’t cross the line. Mainz were ultimately on easy street though as they pulled away to win 4-2 courtesy of two sharp break-outs. The win was even more impressive as, for the visitors, there was no Miroslav Karhan, Ádám Szalai or Sami Allagui – all three ruled out through injury. As independent-minded as ever, Mainz boss Thomas Tuchel nonetheless still benched his key men Lewis Holtby and Christian Fuchs, making the result all the more surprising.

Results: Dortmund 1 Cologne 0; Stuttgart 0 Schalke 1; Eintracht Frankfurt 0 Kaiserslautern 0; Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 Hoffenheim 0; Hannover 3 Bayern Munich 1; Nuremberg 5 St Pauli 0; Bayer Leverkusen 3 Wolfsburg 0; Freiburg 1 Werder Bremen 3; Hamburg 2 Mainz 4.

Latest Bundesliga standings

Fixtures This Weekend

Fri 11/03/11

Köln 19 : 30 Hannover 96

Hannover were mightily impressive in dismantling Bayern with a typically efficient counter-attacking game. This is an easier, if similar, task for Hannover – as long as they don’t suffer a reaction from the Bayern game. With that slight doubt, I will stake down here.

Hannover 2/1 VC 0.5pt

Sat 12/03/11

Hoffenheim 14 : 30 Borussia Dortmund

I always prefer Dortmund on the road and this is a game that, in theory, shouldn’t derail the title challenge. However the celebrations that followed the narrow win over Koln struck some alarm bells for me. I wonder if the team that celebrated like the champions in waiting they surely are, will take one eye off the ball this week. No bet.

Bayern München 14 : 30 Hamburger SV

Bayern are too short to back and too unreliable. Hamburg are simply too unreliable. No bet.

Schalke 04 14 : 30 Eintracht Fran…

In an ideal world, Schalke could be taken on here – especially so as Schalke are returning to Bundesliga duty from the Champions League. The problem is that if Eintracht are over reliant on their keeper, playmaker and striker Gekas. At the moment they seem under-committed and one dimensional. No bet.

Kaiserslautern 14 : 30 Freiburg

Freiburg are just about the value call here against a poor Kaiserslautern down in the relegation berths.

Freiburg 12/5 VC, Bet365 0.5pt

Wolfsburg 14 : 30 Nürnberg

The Wolves are no more compelling under Pierre Littbarski than they were under Steve McClaren. No wonder then that the little former winger always appears to be on the verge of tears. Nurnberg are one of the few form sides in a topsy-turvy league and they deserve to take their chance at 12/5 against more fashionable but unfanciable opponents.

Nurnberg 12/5 Unibet, Wm Hill 1pt

Werder Bremen 17 : 30 Borussia M’gla…

I am not convinced Werder Bremen are out of the woods yet and it would be no surprise to see the game defined by a visiting BM who are decent in possession but consistently leak goals. Both sides to score looks like an obvious play but is 4/6 (60%) a big enough quote? I need a second opinion on this one.

Sun 13/03/11

Mainz 05 14 : 30 Bayer Leverkusen

After Leverkusen let as down by shipping two goals in the final minutes v Werder Bremen, I am not inclined to consider what looks like a merely accurate away win price of around 13/10. More interesting perhaps are bets on over 2.5 goals and over 3.5 goals as both attacks could benefit from an open game on paper. Mainz can certainly hit front foot opponents on the break as they showed last week in their come from behind win over Hamburg. Leverkusen always look dangerous too when they can dictate terms from solid possession and that could mean goals and chances for both sides as the play swings punch and counter-punch.

Mainz v Leverkusen Over 2.5 goals 10/11 Wm Hill 0.5pt

Mainz v Leverkusen Over 3.5 goals 9/4Wm Hill 0.5pt

St. Pauli 16 : 30 Stuttgart

Goals are an interesting prospect in what looks in advance like the opposite of a nervy relegation battle. However there is little in the overs prices for 2.5 or 3.5 goals to get excited about. No bet.

I am most keen on:


Hannover 2/1 VC 0.5pt

Freiburg 12/5 VC, Bet365 0.5pt

Nurnberg 12/5 Unibet, Wm Hill 1pt

Mainz v Leverkusen Over 2.5 goals 10/11 Wm Hill 0.5pt

Mainz v Leverkusen Over 3.5 goals 9/4Wm Hill 0.5pt

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